Last year, my team was tasked with handing over a product to another team. We needed to ensure a successful handover, so we set out to create some OKRs to make sure that we knew what we were trying to achieve in the preparations. The objective part was easy, but we struggled with the key results: how could we measure the success ahead of time without actually doing the handover first?
I’ll show how we applied a technique from the world of mathematical uncertainty to measure how successful the handover would be before it actually happened. I’ll describe how we framed the initial problem to enable us to measure it, the steps involved in taking the measurements, how those measurements shaped our handover preparations, and compare our predictions to the actual outcome of the handover.
You’ll come away from this talk with a structure for how to apply this technique to other similar situations that you may have.
Slides
Resources
- Blink Estimation - Dan North
- Sheffield Elicitation Framework
- Decision Making in the Abscence of Ground Truth - Gary Short
Image credits
- Tape measure - Diana Polekhina on Unsplash
- Child - Adrian Banks
- Redgate logo - Red Gate Software Ltd
- Laptops on a table - Marvin Meyer on Unsplash
- Dynamic Reteaming - Heidi Helfand
- Chris Smith’s talk - Chris Smith
- Parcel - Kira auf der Heide on Unsplash
- Post-it notes on a wall - Startaê Team on Unsplash
- Targets - Remy Gieling on Unsplash
- Graph - Isaac Smith on Unsplash
- Shrugging - Robin Higgins on Pixabay
- DDDSW logo - DDD South West
- Gary Short headshot - Gary Short
- Gary Short’s talk - Gary Short
- Enrico Fermi - Department of Energy. Office of Public Affairs
- Ping pong balls - Hundankbar on Pixabay
- Piano keys - Amir Doreh on Unsplash
- Expert book - Rita Morais on Unsplash
- Courtroom - Hansjörg Keller on Unsplash
- Eye - Filipp Romanovski on Unsplash
- SHELF website - Sheffield Elicitation Framework
- Roads - Denys Nevozhai on Unsplash
- Motorway - Jack B on Unsplash
- Gully - Red Dot on Unsplash
- Grass - Generated by Microsoft Bing
- Sketchnote of Gary’s talk - Adrian Banks
- Maths - Dan Cristian Padure? on Unsplash
- People jumping - Guille Álvarez on Unsplash
- Lightbulb - Johannes Plenio on Unsplash
- Whiteboard - Kvalifik on Unsplash
- Crystal ball - Nicole Avagliano on Unsplash
- 80/20 mug - Austin Distel on Unsplash
- Relay baton - BOOM on Pexels
- Man with confetti - Ambreen Hasan on Unsplash
- Spanner and hammer - PxHere
- People in a meeting - Jason Goodman on Unsplash
- Karate - Thao LEE on Unsplash
- Picture frame - pine watt on Unsplash
- Signpost - Alexander Schimmeck on Unsplash
- Sketchnotes website - Adrian Banks
- End - Markus Spiske on Unsplash